Too much information about stock market seasonality can lead to overload and bad decisions for investors. Just enough can be fun, even valuable if properly deployed.
Indeed, traders and speculators who specialize in technical analysis take advantage of inefficiencies created by retail investors going too deep on those kinds of things.
And even among the experts, you’ll find an amusing variance in how they define things such as the “Santa Claus Rally.”
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At the same time, as some of the greatest asset allocators who ever lived will tell you, the stock market is a reflection of us, our emotions and our psychology.
Warren Buffett said it’s a “popularity contest” in the short term, a “weighing machine” in the long term. He also described it as “a church with a casino attached.”
Those are colorful words from one of the best who ever did it. Basically, though, it is a barometer of human behavior, including our emotions and psychology, as well as what we choose to consume and when.
(Image credit: Getty Images)
Think about it for a second: It’s October, so you’re probably pulling out your sweaters and corduroy, maybe prepping to do some leaf work in the yard, perhaps watching football, possibly hitting a pumpkin patch.
As much as we want to understand ourselves and how we behave as investors, we can also profit from seeing how our decisions plus those made by others like us aggregate over time.
So seasonality offers another reference point along that journey, a map based on history and data to use as you approach prevailing terrain.
But it’s just a guide.
And this quiz is for edutainment purposes only.